New Kentucky Population Projections Released

The Kentucky State Data Center has released new population forecasts based on the 2010 Census for state of Kentucky, the 15 Area Development Districts, and the 120 counties. Projections are provided for the total population and the population in households by sex and age. Launched from 2010, projections are given at 5-year intervals to 2050. Population pyramids displaying persons in households and group quarters are also provided for the 2000 Census, the 2010 Census, and projections in 2020, 2030, 2040, and 2050.

The household population and the group quarters population age 65 and above were projected using the demographic cohort-component method. County-specific assumptions about future mortality, fertility, and migration were derived from the latest demographic patterns and trends of the 2000-2010 decade. The group quarters population under age 65 was projected to remain constant at their 2010 Census counts. Projections of the group quarters population above age 65 were based on their share of the 2010 Census total population.